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Enhancing Indonesia-Myanmar relations to support Indonesia’s 2023 ASEAN chairmanship
The success of Indonesia’s Chairmanship of ASEAN in 2023 will be defined to some extent by the performance of ASEAN in bringing together its 10 members, including Myanmar, in all the group’s numerous meetings and other activities with external partners. This Final Paper intends to propose policy recommendations to the Indonesian Ministry of Foreign Affairs in addressing the Myanmar issue through strengthening bilateral approach, in the context of supporting Indonesia’s upcoming ASEAN Chairmanship.
The internal political turbulence in Myanmar since the February 2021 military coup has an impact on ASEAN’s solidity and effectiveness as a group. It also creates obstacle in ASEAN’s external partnership with other countries and organizations. The military coup has created major setback in Myanmar’s roadmap to democracy. This Final Paper suggests that in order to bring “Myanmar’s center of gravity” back to the “ASEAN’s political orbit”, it could be more effective if Indonesia engage Myanmar directly through bilateral approaches, instead of solely relying on ASEAN’s 5 Point Consensus (5PC). While ASEAN’s core principle of ‘non-interference’ could be effective in maintaining the solidity of the organization, it limits the organization’s ability to take more pragmatic action towards internal situation in one of its members, which in this context is Myanmar.
The ASEAN’s 5PC alone, which is useful as the primary diplomatic “life safety buoy” to keep ASEAN afloat in the region’s turbulent strategic landscape, will not be enough in facilitating the regional aspiration to make Myanmar commit to the principles enshrined ASEAN Charter. The success of Indonesia’s ASEAN chairmanship in 2011 – particularly in dealing with Myanmar democracy - could offer useful lessons to replicate, with a twist to make it compatible with contemporary setting.
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