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Fields of influence: Securing Indonesia’s food resilience through strategic global investment
This paper proposes outbound food investment—acquiring equity stakes in overseas agricultural production and supply-chain infrastructure—as an essential complement to Indonesia's domestic food security strategies. Current import dependencies of 100% in wheat, 90% in soybeans, 80% in dairy, and 40% in beef leave the country acutely exposed to geopolitical supply disruptions that food estates, extensification, and strategic reserves alone cannot resolve. Drawing on stakeholder analysis, a causal loop framework, and a bilateral complementarity study, the paper develops and assesses two policy pathways: the ecosystem track and the funding track. Analysis identifies a consortium-based ecosystem model—mobilizing the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (Kemlu), state-owned enterprises, the private sector, and national banking around differentiated roles—as the superior near-term instrument, given its capacity to capture existing diplomatic momentum without requiring new institutions or legislation. Consistently implemented, this strategy will diversify Indonesia's commodity supply base, deepen bilateral partnerships, and elevate Kemlu's role from diplomatic facilitator to strategic architect of national food resilience, shifting Indonesia from defensive import substitution toward proactive global engagement aligned with Kemlu Renstra 2025–2029 Objective 2, Asta Cita, and Vision 2045.
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