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The future of Timor Sea: A case for Indonesia - Australia - Timor-Leste (IAT) trilateral cooperation mechanism
The Timor Sea holds strategic significance for Indonesia in safeguarding maritime sovereignty, strengthening regional security, and advancing economic interests in its southern maritime region. Although Indonesia and Australia have established their maritime boundaries through a series of agreements, unresolved aspects of maritime delimitation with Timor-Leste and the absence of a trilateral coordination framework create a governance gap in the region. This paper identifies the Bilateral Gap the reliance on fragmented bilateral agreements to manage a maritime area involving the geographic and strategic interests of three countries—as a central challenge in Timor Sea governance. To address this challenge, Indonesia is encouraged to assume a strategic leadership role by establishing an Indonesia–Australia–Timor-Leste Trilateral Cooperation Mechanism based on the Agile Trilateralism model. The proposed mechanism would operate through a Trilateral Maritime Forum structured around three pillars: maritime safety and security, sustainable blue economy, and community development, supported by specialized technical working groups. Furthermore, the development of a unified investment corridor within the proposed Timor Sea Special Economic Zone is recommended to promote shared economic growth among the three countries. This mechanism is expected to strengthen cross-border coordination, enhance maritime stability and security, optimize the region’s economic potential, and reinforce Indonesia’s leadership in regional maritime governance.
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