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The art of alignment: Navigating Indonesia’s strategic autonomy in the shadow of Indonesia – United States economic integration

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Changes in United States tariff policies and a US Supreme Court ruling may undermine the strategic value of the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) for Indonesia, particularly its anticipated market access benefits for textiles and the electric vehicle battery sector. Additional tariffs and uncertainty over market access risk weakening Indonesia’s economic leverage and strategic autonomy. This paper assesses the implications of these developments for Indonesia’s national interests and outlines two policy options: discontinuing ratification on the grounds of a fundamental change in circumstances (rebus sic stantibus) or pursuing strategic renegotiation. Renegotiation would aim to strengthen Indonesia’s bargaining position, secure more balanced economic benefits, and preserve flexibility in relations with major global powers. This approach seeks to align trade cooperation with Indonesia’s economic priorities and policy sovereignty.

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Ketersediaan

2026-2027

Sesparlu 78-2026

Training Materials Repository

Tersedia

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri

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No. Panggil

Sesparlu 78-2026

Penerbit

Jakarta : Kementerian Luar Negeri., 2026

Deskripsi Fisik

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Bahasa

English

ISBN/ISSN

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Klasifikasi

NONE

Tipe Isi

text

Tipe Media

computer

Tipe Pembawa

online resource

Edisi

-

Subjek

-

Info Detail Spesifik

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Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

UPT Sekolah Staf dan Pimpinan Kementerian Luar Negeri

Versi lain/terkait

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